Toomey for Senate

Marist released its latest polls for races in four states yesterday evening, and the news looks good for Republicans — perhaps most in Pennsylvania, where the GOP could use some good news.  After polls showed the races tightening in the Keystone State for Senate and governor, Marist now shows Pat Toomey with a seven-point lead over Joe Sestak with just a few days left.  Tom Corbett likewise has a seven point lead over Dan Onorato, with both Republicans crossing the 50% marker.

Toomey leads 52/45, with only 2% left undecided in the race.  Corbett has a 51/44 lead with 4% undecided.  Both win wide margins with voters claiming to be “very enthusiastic,” a trend seen for Republicans in all four states.  For Corbett,. it’s 59/36, and for Toomey it’s 55/37.  The total sample had an 11-point Democratic advantage but the likely voters were R+2, which means turnout will be the entire ballgame.  Barack Obama has spent a lot of time in Philadelphia attempting to rally the base, but that only will work in Philadelphia, where his approval rating is 78/18.  In the state, he’s at a 47/46, and so far his efforts don’t appear to be paying off for either Sestak or Onoato.